Monthly Archives: December 2013

Long Term Chart Analogues

I saw this chart again on Stock Twits, an old favorite.  It’s due to fellow Canadian Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue.  The ramp, the “mania phase,” and the double top reminded me of the NASDAQ bubble I posted earlier. A freehand chart … Continue reading

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Levy Ratio Dispersion

I have been experimenting with Levy ratio dispersion as a measure of market breadth.  Saturday, I posted this chart on Stock Twits, showing lower lows, lower highs, and declining RSI for $OEXA200R. The chart shows that 87 of the S&P … Continue reading

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Understanding House Prices

It’s hard to know if the housing situation is really improving.  Prices go up, but then units go down.  Classically, you can think of the equilibrium price vacillating around $200K, while the supply and demand curves do their dance.  Here … Continue reading

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Thoughts About Volatility

Back in September, I was testing the Connors RSI pullback strategy, and I posted an observation that the strategy performs best in a volatile market.  Volatility gives you the setups, and mean reversion gives you the profits.  If the market … Continue reading

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The Dot Com Bubble of 2000

Many bloggers are seeing a bubble right now, so I dusted off my analysis of the dot com bubble.  Bubbles are different from normal tops.  They rise sharply, and then pop.  From roughly 5000 down to 3000, the NASDAQ composite … Continue reading

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